Trump is not on the ballot. Somehow the left keeps trying to run against Trump---and the left keeps voting against Trump---even though he is not actually running for office. This is exactly what they did in 2021 against Youngkin. Youngkin won because he was able to play the delicate game of neither being too friendly nor too hostile to Trump.
It might work this time. In fact, the purpose of the Mar-a-lago raid was to put Trump on the ballot emotionally for the left and to trick the right into defending him (which is not to say he actually did anything wrong). By making us defend Trump, they force us not to spend our time attacking them—it hands the initiative back to them. But at some point there will have to be a backlash. At some point, even your dullest Democrat will have to figure out that Trump is not running for office.
That the Democratic party architected the very worst and most abusive state level lockdowns and that everyone is looking to be worse off financially has to count for something. It is amazing to me that everyone can be in this much anguish---having gone through something as deeply traumatic as the lockdowns---and still view the government with rose-colored glasses. If the government can lock you in your home, threaten you with job loss if you don't take an unnecessary medical intervention, inflate away your savings, increase home ownership costs, take away ten to twenty percent of your stock market portfolio, and threaten parents with legal action if they get upset with their local school board, what exactly will it take for you to dislike them.
That said, this opens up a very interesting idea: Psychologically, can the Republicans employ this same tactic? Could you run against Hillary even though she is not running? Of course, there is something about the current Republican coalition that makes Trump important to it in a way Hillary is not. Hillary voters were mostly Hillary voters, but there are Trump voters who are only secondarily Republicans.
Personalizing the enemy is an effective strategy, but Hillary's too trivially disgusting; running against her would be like presenting Gollum as the LOR enemy. Maybe run against Schwab, Soros, and Obama? Present Obama as genuinely, horrifying evil, which he is. He personifies dark savagery (BLM, Antifa, Islam) in America, while Schwab personifies Tech Dystopia and Soros personifies the link between Tech Dystopia and dark savagery -- Tech Dystopia deploying dark savagery as its beating arm, just as the demons of the LOR-world deploy goblins.
The fact that Schwab isn't American, Soros is a heavily accented fairly recent immigrant, and Obama's own American status is quite murky would work in MAGA's favor -- the enemy is personified by people who are either literally unAmerican or only quasi- or murkily American. So, MAGA presents itself as defending America against foreign or at least para-foreign antagonists.