Hypocrisy and Idiocy of Elon Musk: Part IV
Calling for Peace in Ukraine and the Denial of Starlink
Musk claims that he denied Ukraine access to previously inactive Starlink satellites over Crimea because he did not want to be involved in an “escalatory act of war.” This makes no sense: Musk is clearly lying. There is nothing escalatory about attacking Russia’s fleet: It is a legitimate target, and Ukraine has already carried out other, quite successful, attacks on Russian ships—including ships in port. Fundamentally, an attack type that has already been undertaken several times already cannot be escalatory. No, Musk has another motive: He clearly fears retaliation by the Russian government against him, his family, or his business interests. Musk should simply admit that he is something of a coward and that he is acting out of fear of Putin.
Worse than this though are Musk’s calls for peace negotiations. It makes no sense to call for negotiations just as the Ukrainians look poised to make a breakthrough around Robotyne. Musk is ignoring the fact that Russia’s defenses were front loaded—in violation of Russian doctrine—and that the man who deployed and designed Russia’s defenses in the area is, Surovikin, is now out of play. We can expect Ukraine’s gains to accelerate. Ukraine is poised to sever Russia’s rail access to the southwest and to place the M14 under artillery threat. These are fundamental points; if Musk is unaware of these details, Musk should not be talking about the war.
Furthermore, unless Ukraine joins NATO, negotiations are likely to lead to a larger war once Russia has built up its forces again. How do we know this? Because Russia has already violated every peace treaty they have made with Ukraine. Calling for peace is idiotic: You don’t call for peace when you are on the brink of a major victory—and you certainly don’t do it with an enemy who has broken every peace treaty they have entered into in the past.
Musk’s remarks about nuclear escalation illustrate that Musk has no understanding of military affairs; he vastly overstates the nuclear risk. Somehow a basic point has escaped him: Russia will use tactical nukes before they use strategic nukes. Since tactical nukes might make the US back off supporting Ukraine, or push Ukraine to sue for peace, but are unlikely to result in direct US nuclear retaliation, it would make no sense for Russia to use strategic nukes against NATO without first using tactical nukes in Ukraine. Again, Musk’s remarks demonstrate his ignorance regarding military affairs yet again.
Musk does not understand military affairs. That he is involved in this, as much as Starlink is a godsend for Ukraine, is unfortunate. His remarks actively damage the conversation—both because they are born out of ignorance and because Musk fanboys overestimate the extent of his knowledge.
As to Musk, if he allowed his assets to be used in an attack on Russia, Musk, himself, would become a legitimate target under the rules of war. He’s not about to do that.
We definitely disagree on the outcome, and on Ukraine’s current status. We also disagree on nukes - not that they may be used, but by whom.
Nukes will come into play when the side making that choice is out of other options and needs to save face in light of all the propaganda they’ve released. In a war of attrition, and with the best anti-air in the world, this will not be Russia. Once Ukraine has been nearly attrited out of this slaughter and everything pushed by the “Biden” regime has been shown to the world to be nonsense, the probability of the GAE using tac nukes will be much higher than of Russia doing so.