Fears Regarding the Ukrainian Counteroffensive
I am afraid that the recent intelligence leak may have seriously harmed Ukraine’s counteroffensive: 1) By forcing them to alter their plan, 2) by causing them to plan without the aid of US strategists, and 3) by causing them, as a consequence, to revert back to Soviet style strategic thinking. Zelensky has made statements to this effect, Politico on the Discord Leak and the Spring Offensive, and we can see the consequent change of strategy on the battlefield map.
NATO doctrine emphasizes attacking along one or two lines. Compare this offensive map to the fighting we are currently seeing: Last year, Ukraine advanced against Kharkiv with one single massive thrust concentrated around Belinka and then advanced against Kherson, each time the offensive effort was focused on a single direction at any given time using heavily concentrated forces. Here we see that there was the large thrust through Belkinka while a smaller thrust attempted to cut off Russian reinforcements.
Now, compare that to recent battle maps.
The return to reconnaissance in force (which the Daily Wire erroneously said was a tactic the US taught Ukraine even though it is longstanding part of Soviet doctrine) and probing for weaknesses makes me worry that Ukraine has gone back to being a Soviet army. If the US is not participating in the planning any longer, Ukraine’s plans are less likely to fully utilize US intelligence assets, for starters, and are more likely to resemble the kind of fighting—and thinking—the Russian army is accustomed to.
This idiot child, with his need to impress his friends on Discord, may very well have cost us a victory in Ukraine.